Who is out of the World Cup so far - and who is currently the favourite to win?

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The biggest question of the 2026 FIFA World Cup - who will lift the trophy - is becoming harder to answer, with contenders and new favourites shifting from match to match in the latest standings, rankings, odds and forecasts. We have already seen a number of surprising outfits bow out of the competition early on while some are holding their heads above water as they hope to clinch a third-place spot to the knockout rounds as well

Early group-stage results have already reshaped the picture, as established heavyweights have dropped points and underdogs have stood their ground. France , Argentina and Spain still sit near the top of most projections, but no runaway frontrunner has emerged — and that uncertainty is fuelling debate around the world.

With upsets, draws and breakout displays from rising sides, the group stage has tightened the gap between the leading teams, turning what many expected to be a predictable tournament into one of the most open World Cups in years.

So far seven teams have been eliminated from the World Cup with plenty of group stage action left to play:

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France have nudged ahead of Spain in the latest odds and projections after an impressive opening win, with Kylian Mbappé spearheading one of the tournament’s deepest squads. The bookies have Les Bleus ahead at 4/1 with bet365 and SpreadEx while Sky Bet and Paddy Power have them at 7/2.

Spain, though, remain a formidable benchmark, boasting an all-star line-up that includes 18-year-old winger Lamine Yamal and midfield standouts Pedri and Rodri despite drawing their opening match to Cape Verde. La Roja are 11/2 with bet365 and Paddy Power to repeat their 2010 success. You can also find more betting offers at the Mirror Betting Hubs Free Bets offers .

Defending champions Argentina have climbed into close contention following a commanding start inspired by Lionel Messi at 13/2, while England and Portugal remain firmly in the top tier of favourites as the tournament moves towards the knockout rounds.

Here are the current odds:

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